Johnson City Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Johnson City 2N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 22 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 235 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 22, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 6, first November 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 |
| 32°F | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 28°F | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 11 |
| 24°F | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 | Jan 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 5 | Feb 24 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 5 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Feb 18 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Dec 28 | Dec 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 32°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 11 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 26 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 235 | 226 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 200 | 194 | 186 |
| 32°F | 261 | 252 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 216 | 207 |
| 28°F | 290 | 280 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 248 | 241 | 231 |
| 24°F | 333 | 319 | 307 | 300 | 293 | 286 | 277 | 269 | 258 |
| 20°F | 365 | 354 | 344 | 336 | 330 | 321 | 312 | 300 | 287 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 354 | 346 | 337 | 325 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 52% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,940
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,689
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,937
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,221
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,614
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,144
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,832
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 509 | 4 | 96 |
| February | 367 | 10 | 142 |
| March | 206 | 45 | 330 |
| April | 75 | 120 | 497 |
| May | 10 | 306 | 761 |
| June | 0 | 474 | 924 |
| July | 0 | 572 | 1,037 |
| August | 0 | 580 | 1,045 |
| September | 4 | 372 | 818 |
| October | 66 | 162 | 564 |
| November | 247 | 38 | 277 |
| December | 456 | 7 | 124 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.6 km from Johnson City. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00414605 (Johnson City 2N). Public domain.