Humble Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Houston Intercont AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 13 and the first fall freeze around December 9, a growing season of about 300 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 2, first November 25
- Median at 32°F
- last February 13, first December 9
- Median at 28°F
- last January 27, first January 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 25 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 |
| 32°F | Mar 12 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 12 |
| 28°F | Mar 2 | Feb 18 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 | Dec 26 |
| 24°F | Feb 15 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 32°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
| 28°F | Dec 2 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 20 | Feb 2 |
| 24°F | Dec 14 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 12 | Jan 19 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 296 | 286 | 277 | 271 | 266 | 260 | 253 | 245 | 234 |
| 32°F | 339 | 326 | 316 | 307 | 300 | 292 | 285 | 275 | 264 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 360 | 351 | 343 | 335 | 329 | 316 | 301 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 338 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 77% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 33% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 7% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,266
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,288
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,160
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,375
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,657
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,054
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,591
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 366 | 17 | 181 |
| February | 236 | 32 | 244 |
| March | 123 | 85 | 435 |
| April | 31 | 179 | 599 |
| May | 1 | 384 | 848 |
| June | 0 | 540 | 990 |
| July | 0 | 623 | 1,088 |
| August | 0 | 625 | 1,090 |
| September | 0 | 465 | 915 |
| October | 27 | 239 | 678 |
| November | 158 | 70 | 375 |
| December | 325 | 29 | 217 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.7 km from Humble. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00012960 (Houston Intercont AP). Public domain.