Hudson Bend Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Austin-Camp Mabry. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 20 and the first fall freeze around December 3, a growing season of about 291 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 6, first November 22
- Median at 32°F
- last February 20, first December 3
- Median at 28°F
- last February 1, first December 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
| 32°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 23 |
| 28°F | Mar 3 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Dec 29 |
| 24°F | Feb 18 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 24 |
| 20°F | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 | Jan 19 | Jan 14 | Jan 8 | Jan 5 | Jan 4 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 32°F | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 12 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Feb 1 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Jan 2 | Jan 4 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 20 | Feb 1 | Feb 2 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 288 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 250 | 243 | 235 |
| 32°F | 326 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 277 | 269 | 258 |
| 28°F | 365 | 353 | 343 | 335 | 329 | 321 | 312 | 303 | 288 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 349 | 337 | 325 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 46% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 10% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,442
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,290
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,002
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,236
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,547
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,978
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,553
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 408 | 10 | 151 |
| February | 272 | 24 | 215 |
| March | 143 | 73 | 408 |
| April | 34 | 172 | 589 |
| May | 3 | 370 | 832 |
| June | 0 | 541 | 991 |
| July | 0 | 645 | 1,110 |
| August | 0 | 665 | 1,130 |
| September | 1 | 474 | 923 |
| October | 32 | 238 | 672 |
| November | 182 | 62 | 350 |
| December | 368 | 16 | 177 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.4 km from Hudson Bend. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00013958 (Austin-Camp Mabry). Public domain.