Hays County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dripping Springs 6 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 17 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 242 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 31, first November 4
- Median at 32°F
- last March 17, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 |
| 28°F | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 11 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Jan 3 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Feb 19 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Dec 30 | Dec 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 22 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 9 | Dec 19 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 | Feb 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 245 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 196 |
| 32°F | 269 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 225 | 216 |
| 28°F | 303 | 291 | 281 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 255 | 249 | 239 |
| 24°F | 343 | 329 | 318 | 308 | 301 | 295 | 287 | 277 | 267 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 361 | 350 | 341 | 334 | 324 | 310 | 300 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 350 | 332 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 76% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 35% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,811
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,709
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,078
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,353
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,729
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,235
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,888
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 481 | 5 | 114 |
| February | 330 | 15 | 170 |
| March | 189 | 51 | 349 |
| April | 56 | 133 | 528 |
| May | 7 | 300 | 758 |
| June | 0 | 467 | 916 |
| July | 0 | 566 | 1,031 |
| August | 0 | 577 | 1,041 |
| September | 3 | 377 | 824 |
| October | 59 | 172 | 581 |
| November | 243 | 39 | 283 |
| December | 443 | 9 | 135 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.4 km from Hays County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00412585 (Dripping Springs 6 E). Public domain.