Harper Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Harper 3ENE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 15, a growing season of about 243 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 1, first November 4
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 15
- Median at 28°F
- last March 2, first November 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 24 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 7 |
| 32°F | Apr 12 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 28°F | Mar 28 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 5 |
| 24°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 | Jan 16 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Jan 3 | Dec 28 | Dec 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 27 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 4 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 6 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 24 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Dec 10 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 23 | Feb 2 | Feb 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 248 | 238 | 230 | 224 | 218 | 212 | 206 | 200 | 191 |
| 32°F | 273 | 262 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 236 | 229 | 221 | 211 |
| 28°F | 308 | 296 | 285 | 276 | 270 | 262 | 255 | 245 | 234 |
| 24°F | 351 | 335 | 324 | 314 | 305 | 296 | 287 | 277 | 264 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 344 | 334 | 325 | 311 | 296 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 337 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 71% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 29% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,208
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,139
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,162
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,475
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,899
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,471
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,213
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 551 | 1 | 74 |
| February | 400 | 5 | 125 |
| March | 259 | 21 | 262 |
| April | 93 | 84 | 445 |
| May | 18 | 237 | 683 |
| June | 0 | 390 | 840 |
| July | 0 | 479 | 944 |
| August | 0 | 486 | 951 |
| September | 5 | 290 | 735 |
| October | 85 | 122 | 508 |
| November | 293 | 22 | 233 |
| December | 502 | 2 | 99 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.1 km from Harper. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00413954 (Harper 3ENE). Public domain.