Hardin County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lumberton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 25 and the first fall freeze around November 30, a growing season of about 281 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 11, first November 16
- Median at 32°F
- last February 25, first November 30
- Median at 28°F
- last February 5, first December 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
| 32°F | Mar 18 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 |
| 28°F | Mar 6 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 10 |
| 24°F | Feb 24 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
| 32°F | Nov 8 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 21 |
| 28°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 19 |
| 24°F | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 22 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 15 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 31 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 280 | 270 | 263 | 256 | 249 | 244 | 237 | 232 | 221 |
| 32°F | 312 | 300 | 292 | 286 | 281 | 273 | 265 | 257 | 247 |
| 28°F | 345 | 334 | 327 | 320 | 313 | 306 | 298 | 288 | 277 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 351 | 342 | 334 | 327 | 313 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 342 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 64% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 24% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 5% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,646
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,722
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,231
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,481
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,830
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,305
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,929
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 458 | 9 | 123 |
| February | 306 | 17 | 183 |
| March | 154 | 58 | 380 |
| April | 51 | 120 | 520 |
| May | 4 | 317 | 778 |
| June | 0 | 472 | 922 |
| July | 0 | 553 | 1,018 |
| August | 0 | 559 | 1,024 |
| September | 1 | 402 | 852 |
| October | 44 | 163 | 585 |
| November | 209 | 38 | 299 |
| December | 420 | 12 | 146 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.2 km from Hardin County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00415435 (Lumberton). Public domain.