Groesbeck Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mexia. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 13 and the first fall freeze around November 22, a growing season of about 251 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 29, first November 10
- Median at 32°F
- last March 13, first November 22
- Median at 28°F
- last February 28, first December 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 |
| 32°F | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 |
| 28°F | Mar 24 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 5 | Jan 28 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 4 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Feb 14 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 8 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 32°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 22 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 21 |
| 20°F | Dec 3 | Dec 14 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 23 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 11 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 21 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 253 | 245 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 223 | 217 | 212 | 205 |
| 32°F | 279 | 269 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 232 | 223 |
| 28°F | 316 | 304 | 296 | 288 | 281 | 273 | 266 | 257 | 247 |
| 24°F | 357 | 342 | 334 | 324 | 314 | 306 | 297 | 288 | 274 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 351 | 342 | 333 | 323 | 306 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 337 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 64% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 28% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,976
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,702
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,917
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,201
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,589
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,123
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,823
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 533 | 2 | 79 |
| February | 374 | 6 | 126 |
| March | 224 | 27 | 293 |
| April | 76 | 84 | 459 |
| May | 8 | 260 | 716 |
| June | 0 | 466 | 916 |
| July | 0 | 591 | 1,055 |
| August | 0 | 621 | 1,086 |
| September | 3 | 430 | 877 |
| October | 46 | 182 | 604 |
| November | 237 | 30 | 273 |
| December | 475 | 4 | 105 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.2 km from Groesbeck. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00415869 (Mexia). Public domain.