Geronimo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Austin San Antonio. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 1 and the first fall freeze around November 26, a growing season of about 273 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 13, first November 15
- Median at 32°F
- last March 1, first November 26
- Median at 28°F
- last February 13, first December 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
| 32°F | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 3 |
| 28°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Mar 1 | Feb 19 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Feb 17 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 20 |
| 28°F | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 |
| 24°F | Dec 2 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 22 | Feb 3 |
| 20°F | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 273 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 219 |
| 32°F | 307 | 295 | 286 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 253 | 244 |
| 28°F | 346 | 334 | 323 | 314 | 306 | 300 | 289 | 278 | 267 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 353 | 345 | 336 | 329 | 318 | 303 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 341 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 74% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 34% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 7% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,446
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,144
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,850
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,080
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,389
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,821
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,400
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 405 | 10 | 150 |
| February | 275 | 25 | 210 |
| March | 144 | 74 | 405 |
| April | 34 | 176 | 593 |
| May | 3 | 362 | 825 |
| June | 0 | 522 | 972 |
| July | 0 | 605 | 1,070 |
| August | 0 | 623 | 1,088 |
| September | 1 | 446 | 896 |
| October | 32 | 226 | 659 |
| November | 181 | 61 | 348 |
| December | 372 | 15 | 174 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.4 km from Geronimo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00012971 (Austin San Antonio). Public domain.