George West Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Choke Canyon Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 8 and the first fall freeze around December 6, a growing season of about 302 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 28, first November 24
- Median at 32°F
- last February 8, first December 6
- Median at 28°F
- last January 23, first December 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 24 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 2 |
| 32°F | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | Feb 28 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Dec 29 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Feb 15 | Feb 4 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 23 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Feb 6 | Jan 20 | Jan 9 | Jan 7 | Jan 5 | Jan 2 | Dec 30 | Dec 19 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 5 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 |
| 32°F | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 30 | Feb 9 |
| 20°F | Dec 15 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 6 | Jan 8 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 302 | 291 | 283 | 276 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 252 | 241 |
| 32°F | 341 | 328 | 318 | 309 | 302 | 295 | 288 | 279 | 268 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 354 | 346 | 337 | 329 | 322 | 309 | 295 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 346 | 327 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 78% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 40% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 10% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,275
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,317
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,188
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,410
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,702
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,100
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,629
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 373 | 16 | 177 |
| February | 238 | 31 | 247 |
| March | 118 | 92 | 449 |
| April | 29 | 188 | 610 |
| May | 2 | 391 | 854 |
| June | 0 | 537 | 987 |
| July | 0 | 606 | 1,071 |
| August | 0 | 631 | 1,096 |
| September | 1 | 461 | 911 |
| October | 25 | 261 | 701 |
| November | 153 | 81 | 393 |
| December | 336 | 23 | 207 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20 km from George West. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00411720 (Choke Canyon Dam). Public domain.