Fort Gates Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Gatesville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 19 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 236 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 2, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 19, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 5, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 28°F | Mar 27 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 |
| 24°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 28 | Jan 15 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 14 | Jan 2 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Feb 19 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 27 | Dec 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Jan 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 21 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 | Jan 9 | Jan 24 |
| 16°F | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 13 | Jan 23 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 238 | 228 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 189 |
| 32°F | 264 | 253 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 224 | 217 | 208 |
| 28°F | 291 | 280 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 234 |
| 24°F | 331 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 292 | 284 | 277 | 268 | 256 |
| 20°F | 365 | 356 | 344 | 336 | 330 | 321 | 312 | 302 | 288 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 355 | 346 | 335 | 322 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 54% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,083
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,643
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,763
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,065
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,486
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,050
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,764
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 529 | 3 | 88 |
| February | 382 | 10 | 135 |
| March | 224 | 41 | 310 |
| April | 78 | 111 | 486 |
| May | 10 | 286 | 741 |
| June | 0 | 462 | 912 |
| July | 0 | 577 | 1,042 |
| August | 0 | 587 | 1,052 |
| September | 4 | 376 | 822 |
| October | 71 | 149 | 547 |
| November | 274 | 35 | 257 |
| December | 511 | 6 | 96 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.7 km from Fort Gates. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00413485 (Gatesville). Public domain.