Forest Hill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Benbrook Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 14 and the first fall freeze around November 16, a growing season of about 245 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 30, first November 6
- Median at 32°F
- last March 14, first November 16
- Median at 28°F
- last March 2, first November 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 12 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 28°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 19 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 20 | Jan 30 | Feb 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 245 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 198 |
| 32°F | 271 | 263 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 229 | 220 |
| 28°F | 302 | 292 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 253 | 244 |
| 24°F | 335 | 325 | 315 | 307 | 302 | 295 | 286 | 278 | 269 |
| 20°F | 365 | 355 | 347 | 339 | 334 | 326 | 319 | 309 | 297 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 354 | 347 | 337 | 325 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 55% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,278
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,691
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,654
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,983
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,430
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,024
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,772
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 589 | 1 | 65 |
| February | 427 | 6 | 112 |
| March | 266 | 29 | 267 |
| April | 93 | 90 | 452 |
| May | 12 | 270 | 722 |
| June | 0 | 489 | 939 |
| July | 0 | 623 | 1,088 |
| August | 0 | 623 | 1,088 |
| September | 4 | 387 | 832 |
| October | 74 | 146 | 542 |
| November | 288 | 24 | 232 |
| December | 525 | 3 | 90 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.6 km from Forest Hill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00410691 (Benbrook Dam). Public domain.