Florence Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Georgetown Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 6 and the first fall freeze around November 24, a growing season of about 259 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 22, first November 13
- Median at 32°F
- last March 6, first November 24
- Median at 28°F
- last February 23, first December 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
| 32°F | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
| 28°F | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 6 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Dec 31 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 13 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Jan 1 | Dec 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 |
| 28°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 30 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 261 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 232 | 228 | 222 | 216 | 209 |
| 32°F | 289 | 278 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 231 |
| 28°F | 321 | 309 | 302 | 296 | 288 | 281 | 275 | 268 | 258 |
| 24°F | 360 | 346 | 338 | 331 | 323 | 315 | 306 | 298 | 284 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 348 | 340 | 331 | 314 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 345 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 65% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 28% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,949
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,748
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,995
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,282
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,670
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,202
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,891
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 522 | 3 | 88 |
| February | 364 | 10 | 143 |
| March | 215 | 40 | 316 |
| April | 70 | 112 | 494 |
| May | 9 | 301 | 756 |
| June | 0 | 473 | 922 |
| July | 0 | 591 | 1,056 |
| August | 0 | 601 | 1,066 |
| September | 3 | 402 | 849 |
| October | 53 | 179 | 593 |
| November | 241 | 33 | 276 |
| December | 472 | 5 | 111 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.6 km from Florence. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00413507 (Georgetown Lake). Public domain.