Falls City Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Floresville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 6 and the first fall freeze around November 20, a growing season of about 261 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 21, first November 8
- Median at 32°F
- last March 6, first November 20
- Median at 28°F
- last February 21, first December 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 32°F | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 |
| 24°F | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 9 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Feb 27 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Dec 28 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Dec 28 | Dec 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 29 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 28°F | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 17 | Dec 28 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 19 | Feb 4 |
| 20°F | Dec 2 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 30 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 11 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 23 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 262 | 252 | 245 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 221 | 214 | 206 |
| 32°F | 296 | 283 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 254 | 248 | 240 | 227 |
| 28°F | 332 | 315 | 306 | 300 | 292 | 283 | 276 | 267 | 255 |
| 24°F | 365 | 356 | 342 | 334 | 325 | 316 | 307 | 300 | 286 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 354 | 342 | 333 | 317 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 348 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 52% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 20% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,472
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,178
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,861
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,095
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,407
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,845
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,431
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 418 | 12 | 146 |
| February | 278 | 23 | 206 |
| March | 134 | 78 | 420 |
| April | 40 | 166 | 577 |
| May | 4 | 374 | 835 |
| June | 0 | 523 | 973 |
| July | 0 | 615 | 1,080 |
| August | 0 | 629 | 1,094 |
| September | 1 | 445 | 894 |
| October | 38 | 230 | 658 |
| November | 185 | 63 | 348 |
| December | 375 | 19 | 175 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.9 km from Falls City. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00413201 (Floresville). Public domain.