Dickens Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Spur. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 18, first October 26
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last March 25, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 21 | Jan 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 209 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 186 | 182 | 176 | 169 |
| 32°F | 233 | 224 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 187 |
| 28°F | 257 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 225 | 220 | 214 | 206 |
| 24°F | 281 | 270 | 265 | 261 | 255 | 250 | 244 | 236 | 226 |
| 20°F | 309 | 299 | 293 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 262 | 251 |
| 16°F | 351 | 339 | 329 | 321 | 314 | 306 | 299 | 289 | 278 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 95% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,266
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,972
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,133
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,591
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,201
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,966
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,893
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 742 | 0 | 23 |
| February | 577 | 1 | 50 |
| March | 397 | 11 | 168 |
| April | 179 | 49 | 339 |
| May | 42 | 202 | 626 |
| June | 1 | 399 | 847 |
| July | 0 | 510 | 975 |
| August | 0 | 484 | 948 |
| September | 20 | 249 | 680 |
| October | 153 | 63 | 390 |
| November | 441 | 5 | 127 |
| December | 713 | 0 | 28 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.3 km from Dickens. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00418566 (Spur). Public domain.