Cumby Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sulphur Springs. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 14, a growing season of about 245 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 31, first November 4
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 14
- Median at 28°F
- last March 2, first November 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 16 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 6 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Feb 16 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 | Dec 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 |
| 28°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 17 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 19 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 23 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 243 | 235 | 229 | 225 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 203 | 195 |
| 32°F | 271 | 263 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 241 | 235 | 227 | 217 |
| 28°F | 301 | 291 | 284 | 279 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 253 | 245 |
| 24°F | 335 | 324 | 315 | 307 | 300 | 294 | 289 | 280 | 267 |
| 20°F | 365 | 363 | 352 | 343 | 336 | 330 | 323 | 311 | 299 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 348 | 339 | 327 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 81% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 45% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,514
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,517
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,280
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,646
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,139
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,776
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,566
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 634 | 2 | 59 |
| February | 463 | 5 | 96 |
| March | 300 | 24 | 241 |
| April | 117 | 76 | 416 |
| May | 18 | 244 | 691 |
| June | 0 | 456 | 906 |
| July | 0 | 591 | 1,055 |
| August | 0 | 589 | 1,054 |
| September | 5 | 375 | 820 |
| October | 90 | 129 | 508 |
| November | 316 | 22 | 214 |
| December | 571 | 4 | 79 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.8 km from Cumby. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00418743 (Sulphur Springs). Public domain.