Caldwell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Somerville Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 238 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 1, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 5, first November 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
| 32°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 8 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 13 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 7 | Jan 4 | Dec 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Nov 26 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 27 |
| 16°F | Dec 11 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 23 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 239 | 230 | 224 | 219 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 192 |
| 32°F | 267 | 257 | 250 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 219 | 211 |
| 28°F | 298 | 286 | 277 | 270 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 243 | 234 |
| 24°F | 339 | 325 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 290 | 280 | 271 | 257 |
| 20°F | 365 | 359 | 349 | 342 | 335 | 329 | 320 | 308 | 296 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 354 | 344 | 333 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 43% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,933
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,690
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,943
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,229
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,621
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,153
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,840
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 514 | 4 | 93 |
| February | 360 | 7 | 141 |
| March | 218 | 38 | 312 |
| April | 70 | 108 | 490 |
| May | 8 | 293 | 750 |
| June | 0 | 473 | 922 |
| July | 0 | 574 | 1,039 |
| August | 0 | 586 | 1,051 |
| September | 4 | 397 | 843 |
| October | 63 | 164 | 569 |
| November | 241 | 39 | 283 |
| December | 456 | 9 | 129 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 26.1 km from Caldwell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00418446 (Somerville Dam). Public domain.