Caldwell County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Luling. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 5 and the first fall freeze around November 23, a growing season of about 263 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 22, first November 10
- Median at 32°F
- last March 5, first November 23
- Median at 28°F
- last February 17, first December 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 26 |
| 32°F | Apr 3 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 |
| 28°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Mar 3 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 | Dec 22 |
| 20°F | Feb 24 | Feb 7 | Jan 29 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 28°F | Nov 13 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 24 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 22 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 266 | 257 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 225 | 218 | 209 |
| 32°F | 294 | 285 | 276 | 269 | 263 | 256 | 250 | 242 | 232 |
| 28°F | 337 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 297 | 289 | 280 | 270 | 258 |
| 24°F | 365 | 364 | 354 | 346 | 335 | 328 | 317 | 306 | 291 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 347 | 330 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 81% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 39% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 9% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,547
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,192
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,801
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,043
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,375
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,830
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,432
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 421 | 11 | 144 |
| February | 293 | 22 | 198 |
| March | 158 | 73 | 395 |
| April | 45 | 158 | 564 |
| May | 5 | 363 | 823 |
| June | 0 | 535 | 985 |
| July | 0 | 629 | 1,094 |
| August | 0 | 643 | 1,108 |
| September | 1 | 449 | 899 |
| October | 43 | 226 | 649 |
| November | 195 | 64 | 343 |
| December | 387 | 18 | 173 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.3 km from Caldwell County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00415429 (Luling). Public domain.