Bryan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for College Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 27 and the first fall freeze around November 30, a growing season of about 278 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 11, first November 17
- Median at 32°F
- last February 27, first November 30
- Median at 28°F
- last February 7, first December 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 32°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
| 28°F | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 19 | Jan 6 |
| 24°F | Mar 1 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Jan 1 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 14 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Dec 30 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
| 32°F | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 26 |
| 28°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 22 |
| 24°F | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 18 | Jan 27 | Feb 12 |
| 20°F | Dec 11 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 280 | 270 | 262 | 255 | 250 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 223 |
| 32°F | 315 | 303 | 294 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 265 | 257 | 247 |
| 28°F | 353 | 340 | 331 | 324 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 288 | 274 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 353 | 343 | 335 | 325 | 308 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 340 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 66% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 25% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 6% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,545
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,169
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,783
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,025
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,355
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,812
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,411
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 430 | 11 | 141 |
| February | 293 | 22 | 198 |
| March | 157 | 67 | 389 |
| April | 44 | 154 | 560 |
| May | 3 | 355 | 817 |
| June | 0 | 528 | 978 |
| July | 0 | 625 | 1,090 |
| August | 0 | 640 | 1,105 |
| September | 1 | 469 | 918 |
| October | 36 | 224 | 654 |
| November | 194 | 58 | 336 |
| December | 387 | 18 | 171 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.4 km from Bryan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003904 (College Stn). Public domain.