Brewster County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Persimmon Gap. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 5 and the first fall freeze around November 20, a growing season of about 259 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 18, first November 10
- Median at 32°F
- last March 5, first November 20
- Median at 28°F
- last February 21, first December 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 32°F | Mar 26 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 |
| 28°F | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 22 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 |
| 20°F | Feb 16 | Feb 1 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 30 | Dec 23 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Jan 25 | Jan 13 | Jan 8 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 28 | Dec 20 | Dec 13 | Dec 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
| 28°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 13 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 12 | Jan 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 257 | 250 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 210 |
| 32°F | 283 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 232 |
| 28°F | 318 | 306 | 298 | 291 | 286 | 280 | 274 | 267 | 260 |
| 24°F | 355 | 344 | 336 | 331 | 323 | 316 | 308 | 299 | 287 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 353 | 344 | 336 | 325 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 57% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 14% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,789
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,037
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,419
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,677
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,036
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,537
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,204
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 498 | 0 | 79 |
| February | 321 | 6 | 156 |
| March | 161 | 50 | 369 |
| April | 36 | 176 | 591 |
| May | 5 | 414 | 874 |
| June | 0 | 582 | 1,032 |
| July | 0 | 619 | 1,084 |
| August | 0 | 601 | 1,066 |
| September | 3 | 395 | 842 |
| October | 49 | 176 | 595 |
| November | 243 | 19 | 258 |
| December | 475 | 1 | 90 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.5 km from Brewster County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00416959 (Persimmon Gap). Public domain.