Alvord Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Alvord 3 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 1 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 219 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 12, first October 27
- Median at 32°F
- last April 1, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last March 18, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 28°F | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 24°F | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 |
| 20°F | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 6 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 6 | Dec 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 220 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 182 | 175 |
| 32°F | 245 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 204 | 195 |
| 28°F | 269 | 259 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 222 | 214 |
| 24°F | 294 | 284 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 252 | 244 | 235 |
| 20°F | 331 | 317 | 307 | 300 | 293 | 285 | 278 | 270 | 258 |
| 16°F | 365 | 352 | 342 | 335 | 327 | 318 | 307 | 299 | 287 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 91% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,862
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,353
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,851
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,270
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,823
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,515
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,358
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 702 | 1 | 41 |
| February | 514 | 4 | 85 |
| March | 343 | 22 | 214 |
| April | 136 | 78 | 403 |
| May | 26 | 226 | 665 |
| June | 0 | 445 | 895 |
| July | 0 | 572 | 1,037 |
| August | 0 | 559 | 1,024 |
| September | 9 | 326 | 766 |
| October | 122 | 104 | 456 |
| November | 365 | 14 | 178 |
| December | 645 | 2 | 58 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.8 km from Alvord. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00410206 (Alvord 3 N). Public domain.