Waverly Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Waverly AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 2 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 218 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 26
- Median at 32°F
- last April 2, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last March 18, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
| 28°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 24°F | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 |
| 20°F | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 8 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 216 | 208 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 171 |
| 32°F | 240 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 212 | 207 | 201 | 192 |
| 28°F | 265 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 223 | 215 |
| 24°F | 291 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 238 |
| 20°F | 318 | 307 | 299 | 294 | 288 | 282 | 276 | 269 | 258 |
| 16°F | 338 | 331 | 325 | 318 | 312 | 306 | 301 | 294 | 282 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,729
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,544
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,407
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,944
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,628
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,455
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,423
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 883 | 0 | 17 |
| February | 664 | 0 | 35 |
| March | 464 | 10 | 139 |
| April | 211 | 48 | 314 |
| May | 64 | 134 | 536 |
| June | 3 | 288 | 735 |
| July | 0 | 405 | 869 |
| August | 1 | 392 | 857 |
| September | 23 | 207 | 634 |
| October | 185 | 57 | 352 |
| November | 477 | 4 | 109 |
| December | 755 | 0 | 31 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.8 km from Waverly. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00409493 (Waverly AP). Public domain.