Walden Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Soddy Daisy-Mowbray Mtn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 203 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 20, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
| 28°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 28 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 16 |
| 20°F | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 204 | 196 | 191 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 164 | 157 |
| 32°F | 229 | 221 | 214 | 209 | 203 | 199 | 193 | 187 | 178 |
| 28°F | 255 | 246 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 217 | 212 | 203 |
| 24°F | 288 | 275 | 268 | 261 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 236 | 227 |
| 20°F | 319 | 306 | 300 | 293 | 286 | 279 | 273 | 264 | 253 |
| 16°F | 344 | 334 | 326 | 318 | 311 | 306 | 300 | 291 | 281 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 97% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,793
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,275
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,022
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,555
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,237
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,092
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,105
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 835 | 0 | 17 |
| February | 662 | 0 | 25 |
| March | 496 | 4 | 113 |
| April | 223 | 31 | 285 |
| May | 72 | 109 | 504 |
| June | 5 | 246 | 691 |
| July | 0 | 363 | 828 |
| August | 1 | 330 | 793 |
| September | 33 | 162 | 580 |
| October | 229 | 29 | 291 |
| November | 497 | 1 | 77 |
| December | 740 | 1 | 34 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.9 km from Walden. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00408445 (Soddy Daisy-Mowbray Mtn). Public domain.