Sneedville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rogersville 1 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 14 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 14, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 190 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 168 | 163 | 158 | 151 |
| 32°F | 211 | 204 | 199 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 178 | 171 |
| 28°F | 236 | 228 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 194 |
| 24°F | 263 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 215 |
| 20°F | 292 | 283 | 275 | 270 | 263 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 237 |
| 16°F | 324 | 313 | 306 | 299 | 292 | 286 | 278 | 272 | 261 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,217
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,080
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,531
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,126
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,883
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,798
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,863
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 918 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 716 | 0 | 16 |
| March | 559 | 1 | 75 |
| April | 274 | 14 | 226 |
| May | 88 | 82 | 462 |
| June | 7 | 210 | 652 |
| July | 0 | 316 | 781 |
| August | 1 | 286 | 750 |
| September | 31 | 150 | 569 |
| October | 248 | 20 | 264 |
| November | 554 | 1 | 64 |
| December | 822 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.4 km from Sneedville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00407884 (Rogersville 1 Ne). Public domain.