Newbern Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dyersburg Iii Golf. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 28 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 221 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 8, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 28, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last March 14, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 32°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 |
| 24°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
| 20°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Jan 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 219 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 181 |
| 32°F | 243 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 207 | 200 |
| 28°F | 270 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 227 | 218 |
| 24°F | 299 | 288 | 281 | 276 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 251 | 242 |
| 20°F | 331 | 320 | 312 | 305 | 300 | 294 | 285 | 276 | 264 |
| 16°F | 360 | 346 | 336 | 330 | 324 | 316 | 310 | 304 | 292 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 92% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,585
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,830
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,758
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,280
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,948
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,767
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,725
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 829 | 0 | 21 |
| February | 651 | 1 | 33 |
| March | 455 | 10 | 136 |
| April | 196 | 46 | 318 |
| May | 40 | 183 | 608 |
| June | 1 | 380 | 829 |
| July | 0 | 477 | 942 |
| August | 0 | 434 | 899 |
| September | 15 | 240 | 675 |
| October | 180 | 53 | 352 |
| November | 488 | 5 | 103 |
| December | 729 | 1 | 33 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.3 km from Newbern. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003809 (Dyersburg Iii Golf). Public domain.