New Union Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Manchester #2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 26, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 14 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 151 |
| 32°F | 213 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 172 |
| 28°F | 238 | 229 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 200 | 192 |
| 24°F | 265 | 255 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 221 | 213 |
| 20°F | 300 | 289 | 281 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 254 | 247 | 236 |
| 16°F | 332 | 321 | 313 | 306 | 299 | 292 | 285 | 276 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,137
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,129
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,643
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,222
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,959
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,863
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,919
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 873 | 0 | 21 |
| February | 702 | 0 | 24 |
| March | 547 | 3 | 87 |
| April | 286 | 18 | 226 |
| May | 97 | 81 | 453 |
| June | 6 | 222 | 666 |
| July | 0 | 337 | 801 |
| August | 2 | 299 | 762 |
| September | 41 | 143 | 553 |
| October | 255 | 24 | 267 |
| November | 553 | 2 | 68 |
| December | 775 | 0 | 31 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2 km from New Union. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00405595 (Manchester #2). Public domain.