Madisonville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tellico Plains. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 24 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Mar 9 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 193 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 155 |
| 32°F | 216 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 173 |
| 28°F | 244 | 234 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 202 | 195 |
| 24°F | 276 | 266 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 229 | 217 |
| 20°F | 312 | 301 | 293 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 257 | 248 |
| 16°F | 346 | 334 | 327 | 321 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 289 | 276 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,591
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,492
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,375
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,883
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,545
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,373
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,355
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 800 | 0 | 29 |
| February | 610 | 1 | 41 |
| March | 451 | 5 | 131 |
| April | 224 | 35 | 289 |
| May | 62 | 138 | 542 |
| June | 3 | 301 | 748 |
| July | 1 | 407 | 871 |
| August | 0 | 369 | 834 |
| September | 24 | 196 | 623 |
| October | 215 | 38 | 312 |
| November | 500 | 3 | 84 |
| December | 703 | 0 | 42 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.7 km from Madisonville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00408886 (Tellico Plains). Public domain.