Macon County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lafayette. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 3 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 213 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 3, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 23, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 5 |
| 24°F | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 210 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 176 | 167 |
| 32°F | 236 | 228 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 190 |
| 28°F | 261 | 251 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 211 |
| 24°F | 285 | 275 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 253 | 247 | 240 | 231 |
| 20°F | 307 | 297 | 290 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 266 | 258 | 249 |
| 16°F | 332 | 324 | 316 | 308 | 300 | 294 | 288 | 281 | 270 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,918
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,527
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,277
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,840
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,542
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,387
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,381
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 910 | 0 | 15 |
| February | 697 | 0 | 29 |
| March | 510 | 6 | 113 |
| April | 228 | 35 | 291 |
| May | 64 | 129 | 530 |
| June | 4 | 306 | 751 |
| July | 0 | 420 | 885 |
| August | 0 | 389 | 854 |
| September | 22 | 200 | 629 |
| October | 201 | 37 | 318 |
| November | 494 | 4 | 100 |
| December | 788 | 1 | 27 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.5 km from Macon County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00404987 (Lafayette). Public domain.