Hickman County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Centerville Water Pl. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 196 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 |
| 32°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 28°F | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 11 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 26 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 195 | 189 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 155 |
| 32°F | 219 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 28°F | 244 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 197 |
| 24°F | 271 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 220 |
| 20°F | 302 | 291 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 254 | 245 |
| 16°F | 335 | 323 | 316 | 309 | 303 | 298 | 291 | 283 | 271 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,486
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,526
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,508
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,005
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,655
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,452
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,404
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 812 | 0 | 20 |
| February | 619 | 0 | 36 |
| March | 439 | 8 | 137 |
| April | 174 | 46 | 337 |
| May | 49 | 136 | 552 |
| June | 3 | 297 | 744 |
| July | 0 | 417 | 882 |
| August | 0 | 380 | 845 |
| September | 21 | 201 | 630 |
| October | 194 | 34 | 323 |
| November | 468 | 5 | 113 |
| December | 706 | 0 | 37 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.8 km from Hickman County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00401587 (Centerville Water Pl). Public domain.