Grimsley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Allardt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 188 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 17, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 7 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 22 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 186 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 145 |
| 32°F | 210 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 173 | 164 |
| 28°F | 235 | 227 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 198 | 190 |
| 24°F | 261 | 252 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 221 | 214 |
| 20°F | 289 | 278 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 234 |
| 16°F | 315 | 306 | 299 | 292 | 285 | 280 | 275 | 267 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,327
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 892
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,290
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,887
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,645
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,564
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,644
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 907 | 0 | 15 |
| February | 717 | 0 | 21 |
| March | 570 | 2 | 85 |
| April | 286 | 16 | 228 |
| May | 120 | 61 | 412 |
| June | 17 | 170 | 603 |
| July | 2 | 265 | 728 |
| August | 5 | 240 | 701 |
| September | 53 | 116 | 514 |
| October | 272 | 19 | 248 |
| November | 565 | 1 | 68 |
| December | 814 | 0 | 22 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16 km from Grimsley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00400081 (Allardt). Public domain.