Elizabethton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elizabethton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 187 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 19, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 24°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 187 | 181 | 176 | 170 | 166 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 146 |
| 32°F | 208 | 201 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 164 |
| 28°F | 230 | 223 | 219 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 195 | 189 |
| 24°F | 256 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 211 |
| 20°F | 289 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 232 |
| 16°F | 322 | 309 | 301 | 295 | 288 | 281 | 275 | 267 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,303
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,008
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,404
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,009
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,772
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,695
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,773
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 904 | 0 | 13 |
| February | 721 | 0 | 18 |
| March | 573 | 1 | 77 |
| April | 299 | 13 | 214 |
| May | 105 | 80 | 445 |
| June | 12 | 199 | 637 |
| July | 1 | 295 | 759 |
| August | 1 | 270 | 733 |
| September | 42 | 128 | 536 |
| October | 269 | 21 | 253 |
| November | 574 | 2 | 66 |
| December | 801 | 0 | 21 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.4 km from Elizabethton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00402806 (Elizabethton). Public domain.