Coalfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oak Ridge Atdd. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 5 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 210 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 17, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 5, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 23, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 2 |
| 24°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 |
| 20°F | Mar 16 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 4 | Feb 26 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 32°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 18 |
| 20°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 2 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 208 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 169 |
| 32°F | 231 | 224 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 191 |
| 28°F | 260 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 219 | 213 |
| 24°F | 292 | 282 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 236 |
| 20°F | 327 | 314 | 306 | 300 | 293 | 286 | 279 | 272 | 261 |
| 16°F | 358 | 344 | 335 | 331 | 324 | 317 | 309 | 301 | 291 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 95% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,732
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,414
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,184
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,715
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,405
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,259
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,261
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 840 | 0 | 16 |
| February | 651 | 0 | 25 |
| March | 478 | 4 | 111 |
| April | 219 | 27 | 280 |
| May | 62 | 121 | 525 |
| June | 4 | 275 | 721 |
| July | 0 | 389 | 854 |
| August | 0 | 366 | 831 |
| September | 21 | 195 | 624 |
| October | 199 | 35 | 317 |
| November | 509 | 2 | 79 |
| December | 749 | 0 | 23 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.8 km from Coalfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003841 (Oak Ridge Atdd). Public domain.