Carthage Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carthage. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 |
| 20°F | Mar 24 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 10 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 199 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 160 |
| 32°F | 220 | 214 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 181 |
| 28°F | 246 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 201 |
| 24°F | 278 | 267 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 232 | 224 |
| 20°F | 308 | 299 | 292 | 284 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 259 | 249 |
| 16°F | 340 | 330 | 322 | 315 | 309 | 305 | 296 | 288 | 277 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,807
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,457
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,218
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,760
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,450
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,296
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,301
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 851 | 0 | 22 |
| February | 671 | 1 | 28 |
| March | 508 | 4 | 103 |
| April | 238 | 25 | 269 |
| May | 75 | 118 | 509 |
| June | 5 | 283 | 727 |
| July | 0 | 405 | 869 |
| August | 1 | 367 | 831 |
| September | 21 | 209 | 637 |
| October | 203 | 42 | 324 |
| November | 491 | 3 | 97 |
| December | 743 | 0 | 32 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.9 km from Carthage. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00401480 (Carthage). Public domain.