Socastee Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Conway. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 22, a growing season of about 254 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 28, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 22
- Median at 28°F
- last February 28, first December 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 |
| 28°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 |
| 24°F | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Feb 22 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 19 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 28 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 18 |
| 28°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 28 |
| 20°F | Dec 15 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 9 | Jan 13 | Jan 16 | Jan 20 | Jan 25 | Jan 30 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 252 | 244 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 212 | 204 |
| 32°F | 284 | 274 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 235 | 226 |
| 28°F | 321 | 308 | 301 | 293 | 287 | 281 | 274 | 265 | 254 |
| 24°F | 356 | 343 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 311 | 305 | 298 | 286 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 352 | 343 | 335 | 328 | 313 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 335 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 65% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 24% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,288
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,141
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,054
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,365
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,813
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,420
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,191
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 571 | 3 | 71 |
| February | 442 | 4 | 86 |
| March | 303 | 17 | 224 |
| April | 107 | 72 | 419 |
| May | 16 | 220 | 670 |
| June | 1 | 397 | 846 |
| July | 0 | 515 | 979 |
| August | 0 | 470 | 935 |
| September | 4 | 315 | 762 |
| October | 78 | 104 | 493 |
| November | 284 | 19 | 221 |
| December | 483 | 6 | 107 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.2 km from Socastee. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00381997 (Conway). Public domain.