Manning Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Manning. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 25 and the first fall freeze around November 11, a growing season of about 232 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 25, first November 11
- Median at 28°F
- last March 9, first November 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 |
| 32°F | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 1 |
| 28°F | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 6 | Feb 25 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 32°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 27 | Feb 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 230 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 189 |
| 32°F | 259 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 210 |
| 28°F | 291 | 281 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 255 | 248 | 240 | 232 |
| 24°F | 335 | 321 | 310 | 303 | 296 | 288 | 281 | 271 | 260 |
| 20°F | 365 | 359 | 348 | 337 | 331 | 322 | 313 | 303 | 291 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 345 | 336 | 321 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 48% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,595
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,950
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,600
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,962
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,464
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,125
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,949
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 615 | 2 | 65 |
| February | 479 | 2 | 76 |
| March | 334 | 14 | 206 |
| April | 128 | 62 | 390 |
| May | 26 | 198 | 637 |
| June | 1 | 376 | 825 |
| July | 0 | 485 | 950 |
| August | 0 | 447 | 911 |
| September | 8 | 275 | 717 |
| October | 115 | 75 | 429 |
| November | 344 | 13 | 176 |
| December | 546 | 3 | 82 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.2 km from Manning. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00385493 (Manning). Public domain.