Carolina Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kingston. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 8, a growing season of about 159 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 14, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 8
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 156 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 138 | 135 | 130 | 126 | 120 |
| 32°F | 179 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 159 | 155 | 152 | 148 | 142 |
| 28°F | 203 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 162 |
| 24°F | 230 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 187 |
| 20°F | 263 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 222 | 214 |
| 16°F | 287 | 279 | 273 | 268 | 264 | 259 | 255 | 249 | 240 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,572
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 658
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,147
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,921
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,865
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,972
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,235
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,069 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 917 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 815 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 500 | 2 | 66 |
| May | 232 | 20 | 262 |
| June | 49 | 107 | 509 |
| July | 4 | 238 | 699 |
| August | 9 | 205 | 662 |
| September | 90 | 78 | 440 |
| October | 356 | 9 | 169 |
| November | 626 | 0 | 41 |
| December | 907 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.7 km from Carolina. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00374266 (Kingston). Public domain.