Tinicum Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bucksville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 16, a growing season of about 170 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 29, first October 16
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 136 | 129 |
| 32°F | 190 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 150 |
| 28°F | 212 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 185 | 180 | 172 |
| 24°F | 236 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 198 |
| 20°F | 264 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 221 |
| 16°F | 289 | 281 | 274 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 242 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,653
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 810
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,360
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,159
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,107
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,194
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,427
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,117 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 956 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 811 | 0 | 17 |
| April | 443 | 8 | 118 |
| May | 186 | 46 | 333 |
| June | 35 | 161 | 576 |
| July | 3 | 280 | 742 |
| August | 8 | 220 | 677 |
| September | 90 | 84 | 446 |
| October | 374 | 10 | 159 |
| November | 671 | 0 | 30 |
| December | 959 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10 km from Tinicum. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00361080 (Bucksville). Public domain.