Sugar Grove Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Chandlers Valley 1SE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 22 and the first fall freeze around September 30, a growing season of about 131 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 3, first September 18
- Median at 32°F
- last May 22, first September 30
- Median at 28°F
- last May 8, first October 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 20 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 21 |
| 32°F | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 28 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 |
| 28°F | May 25 | May 19 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 16°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
| 28°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 126 | 119 | 114 | 109 | 104 | 100 | 95 | 89 | 80 |
| 32°F | 152 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 117 | 109 |
| 28°F | 180 | 172 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 142 | 135 |
| 24°F | 204 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 167 | 158 |
| 20°F | 232 | 226 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 197 | 189 |
| 16°F | 257 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 220 | 213 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,504
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 274
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,913
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,887
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,004
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,259
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 674
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,334 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,179 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 1,045 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 651 | 0 | 41 |
| May | 347 | 13 | 189 |
| June | 113 | 54 | 394 |
| July | 45 | 101 | 521 |
| August | 62 | 76 | 479 |
| September | 204 | 27 | 282 |
| October | 536 | 3 | 79 |
| November | 839 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,150 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.8 km from Sugar Grove. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00361362 (Chandlers Valley 1SE). Public domain.