Smithfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grays Landing. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 135 |
| 32°F | 193 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 168 | 163 | 156 |
| 28°F | 217 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 176 |
| 24°F | 242 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 204 |
| 20°F | 269 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 229 | 221 |
| 16°F | 297 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 258 | 251 | 241 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,578
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 756
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,394
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,175
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,105
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,180
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,393
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,097 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 930 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 792 | 0 | 28 |
| April | 437 | 5 | 123 |
| May | 182 | 44 | 339 |
| June | 32 | 140 | 558 |
| July | 3 | 256 | 718 |
| August | 5 | 216 | 676 |
| September | 77 | 85 | 459 |
| October | 370 | 11 | 166 |
| November | 689 | 0 | 25 |
| December | 964 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.5 km from Smithfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00363451 (Grays Landing). Public domain.