Scottdale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Connellsville 2 Ssw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 187 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 185 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 144 |
| 32°F | 209 | 203 | 197 | 193 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 165 |
| 28°F | 234 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 200 | 192 |
| 24°F | 262 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 217 |
| 20°F | 289 | 280 | 273 | 269 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 237 |
| 16°F | 311 | 303 | 298 | 292 | 287 | 281 | 276 | 270 | 261 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,532
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 787
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,484
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,255
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,177
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,242
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,444
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,100 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 938 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 794 | 1 | 35 |
| April | 436 | 7 | 128 |
| May | 178 | 55 | 360 |
| June | 24 | 141 | 567 |
| July | 3 | 251 | 713 |
| August | 5 | 223 | 683 |
| September | 82 | 94 | 463 |
| October | 356 | 15 | 179 |
| November | 672 | 0 | 34 |
| December | 944 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.5 km from Scottdale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00361726 (Connellsville 2 Ssw). Public domain.