North Braddock Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Braddock Lock 2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 5 and the first fall freeze around November 10, a growing season of about 219 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 20, first October 29
- Median at 32°F
- last April 5, first November 10
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 22 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
| 24°F | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 32°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 |
| 16°F | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 213 | 206 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 174 | 165 |
| 32°F | 240 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 196 |
| 28°F | 263 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 226 | 220 |
| 24°F | 286 | 278 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 238 |
| 20°F | 309 | 301 | 294 | 289 | 285 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 260 |
| 16°F | 330 | 321 | 313 | 307 | 302 | 299 | 293 | 288 | 279 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,415
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 866
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,598
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,357
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,275
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,338
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,534
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,099 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 949 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 789 | 0 | 21 |
| April | 418 | 3 | 126 |
| May | 167 | 49 | 360 |
| June | 19 | 161 | 593 |
| July | 1 | 283 | 747 |
| August | 2 | 250 | 713 |
| September | 68 | 106 | 489 |
| October | 336 | 13 | 187 |
| November | 636 | 0 | 31 |
| December | 931 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.8 km from North Braddock. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00360861 (Braddock Lock 2). Public domain.