Nicholson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Montrose. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around October 2, a growing season of about 141 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 26, first September 23
- Median at 32°F
- last May 14, first October 2
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 15 | May 9 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 28°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | May 9 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 27 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 16°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 9 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 139 | 131 | 126 | 122 | 118 | 115 | 111 | 107 | 101 |
| 32°F | 161 | 154 | 148 | 144 | 141 | 136 | 132 | 128 | 122 |
| 28°F | 184 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 163 | 157 | 153 | 147 | 141 |
| 24°F | 211 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 173 | 166 |
| 20°F | 239 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 214 | 209 | 204 | 196 |
| 16°F | 261 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 223 | 217 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,498
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 313
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,964
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,948
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,067
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,324
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 729
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,339 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,177 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,052 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 656 | 2 | 42 |
| May | 333 | 15 | 189 |
| June | 107 | 63 | 409 |
| July | 33 | 116 | 549 |
| August | 48 | 94 | 511 |
| September | 206 | 22 | 280 |
| October | 540 | 1 | 72 |
| November | 842 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 1,166 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 25.9 km from Nicholson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00365915 (Montrose). Public domain.