McElhattan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lock Haven Sewage Plt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 173 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 9, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 163 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 136 | 129 |
| 32°F | 192 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 150 |
| 28°F | 217 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 177 |
| 24°F | 242 | 234 | 229 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 203 |
| 20°F | 270 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 247 | 243 | 237 | 231 | 225 |
| 16°F | 294 | 286 | 279 | 274 | 269 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,068
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 730
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,098
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,955
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,948
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,073
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,331
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,190 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,019 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 864 | 0 | 15 |
| April | 482 | 5 | 97 |
| May | 199 | 44 | 321 |
| June | 36 | 141 | 555 |
| July | 3 | 251 | 713 |
| August | 8 | 205 | 662 |
| September | 99 | 75 | 428 |
| October | 410 | 8 | 135 |
| November | 729 | 0 | 18 |
| December | 1,029 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.9 km from McElhattan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00365109 (Lock Haven Sewage Plt). Public domain.