Mansfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tioga Hammond Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 158 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 6, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 23 | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 149 | 143 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 115 |
| 32°F | 179 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 136 |
| 28°F | 203 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 168 | 159 |
| 24°F | 229 | 222 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 193 | 185 |
| 20°F | 252 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 211 |
| 16°F | 275 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 231 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,945
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 441
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,367
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,305
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,382
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,589
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 931
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,282 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,118 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 998 | 0 | 8 |
| April | 607 | 1 | 52 |
| May | 289 | 20 | 233 |
| June | 73 | 79 | 457 |
| July | 17 | 161 | 609 |
| August | 27 | 128 | 566 |
| September | 163 | 47 | 341 |
| October | 486 | 4 | 99 |
| November | 786 | 0 | 16 |
| December | 1,099 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.4 km from Mansfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00368868 (Tioga Hammond Dam). Public domain.