Lancaster Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lancaster 2NE Fltr Plt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 186 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 19, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 157 | 151 | 144 |
| 32°F | 205 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 172 | 163 |
| 28°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 209 | 204 | 198 | 189 |
| 24°F | 264 | 255 | 249 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 219 |
| 20°F | 291 | 282 | 276 | 271 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 243 |
| 16°F | 316 | 308 | 303 | 297 | 292 | 287 | 282 | 277 | 268 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,129
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,030
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,877
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,613
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,496
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,532
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,707
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,052 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 890 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 731 | 1 | 28 |
| April | 383 | 10 | 143 |
| May | 144 | 64 | 389 |
| June | 18 | 204 | 636 |
| July | 0 | 337 | 801 |
| August | 2 | 283 | 746 |
| September | 61 | 118 | 508 |
| October | 323 | 15 | 193 |
| November | 618 | 0 | 39 |
| December | 907 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.9 km from Lancaster. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00364763 (Lancaster 2NE Fltr Plt). Public domain.