Juniata County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lewistown. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 185 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 6, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 24°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 181 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 146 | 137 |
| 32°F | 206 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 182 | 177 | 171 | 162 |
| 28°F | 231 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 190 |
| 24°F | 259 | 252 | 246 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 219 |
| 20°F | 290 | 281 | 274 | 269 | 264 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 242 |
| 16°F | 316 | 305 | 299 | 295 | 291 | 285 | 280 | 273 | 264 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,570
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 832
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,428
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,223
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,165
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,247
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,468
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,116 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 942 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 797 | 0 | 21 |
| April | 433 | 7 | 119 |
| May | 175 | 49 | 346 |
| June | 28 | 163 | 585 |
| July | 2 | 279 | 742 |
| August | 5 | 233 | 693 |
| September | 81 | 90 | 460 |
| October | 360 | 12 | 166 |
| November | 666 | 0 | 27 |
| December | 966 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.4 km from Juniata County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00364992 (Lewistown). Public domain.