Bruin Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Butler 2 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 159 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 23 | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 30 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 157 | 150 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 133 | 129 | 125 | 118 |
| 32°F | 179 | 173 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 146 | 139 |
| 28°F | 204 | 198 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 162 |
| 24°F | 231 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 191 |
| 20°F | 258 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 214 |
| 16°F | 283 | 276 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 235 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,457
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 480
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,635
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,510
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,533
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,695
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,003
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,215 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 1,040 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 905 | 0 | 16 |
| April | 533 | 2 | 79 |
| May | 261 | 26 | 257 |
| June | 63 | 96 | 484 |
| July | 14 | 167 | 618 |
| August | 22 | 138 | 581 |
| September | 138 | 46 | 363 |
| October | 457 | 5 | 111 |
| November | 759 | 0 | 16 |
| December | 1,049 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 28.6 km from Bruin. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00361139 (Butler 2 Sw). Public domain.