Bressler Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Middletown Harrisburg Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 206 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 22
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 25 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 202 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 163 |
| 32°F | 224 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 206 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 185 |
| 28°F | 249 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 211 |
| 24°F | 276 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 234 |
| 20°F | 302 | 293 | 288 | 282 | 277 | 273 | 268 | 263 | 255 |
| 16°F | 328 | 320 | 312 | 307 | 302 | 297 | 292 | 286 | 278 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,024
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,171
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,103
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,830
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,702
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,719
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,875
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,060 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 886 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 720 | 1 | 29 |
| April | 365 | 9 | 153 |
| May | 121 | 72 | 417 |
| June | 12 | 239 | 677 |
| July | 0 | 381 | 846 |
| August | 1 | 319 | 783 |
| September | 48 | 135 | 537 |
| October | 300 | 16 | 210 |
| November | 605 | 0 | 40 |
| December | 907 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.3 km from Bressler. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014711 (Middletown Harrisburg Intl AP). Public domain.