Avondale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Avondale 2 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 189 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 19, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 186 | 179 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 158 | 152 | 147 |
| 32°F | 209 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 179 | 175 | 167 |
| 28°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 192 |
| 24°F | 263 | 255 | 248 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 218 |
| 20°F | 291 | 282 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 241 |
| 16°F | 317 | 308 | 302 | 298 | 292 | 286 | 280 | 274 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,359
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 778
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,475
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,229
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,143
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,208
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,417
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,065 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 907 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 763 | 0 | 26 |
| April | 432 | 7 | 117 |
| May | 172 | 39 | 338 |
| June | 24 | 151 | 578 |
| July | 2 | 270 | 733 |
| August | 6 | 214 | 673 |
| September | 79 | 87 | 458 |
| October | 356 | 10 | 173 |
| November | 636 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 918 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4 km from Avondale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003761 (Avondale 2 N). Public domain.