Willamina Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Laurel Mtn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 20 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 157 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 10, first October 4
- Median at 32°F
- last May 20, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 27, first November 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 30 | Jun 23 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 24 |
| 32°F | Jun 8 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 | May 20 | May 15 | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 28 |
| 28°F | May 20 | May 10 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 27 | Apr 18 | Apr 9 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 9 | Feb 25 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 29 | Mar 14 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 3 | Jan 19 | Jan 5 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | Dec 28 | Dec 15 | Dec 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 9 | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 17 | Dec 31 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 24 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 26 | Feb 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 141 | 131 | 126 | 121 | 115 | 111 | 104 | 97 | 87 |
| 32°F | 185 | 177 | 170 | 164 | 157 | 152 | 146 | 141 | 131 |
| 28°F | 230 | 218 | 212 | 205 | 199 | 193 | 186 | 180 | 170 |
| 24°F | 301 | 281 | 269 | 257 | 248 | 238 | 229 | 220 | 206 |
| 20°F | 361 | 340 | 329 | 318 | 308 | 299 | 284 | 272 | 253 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 346 | 335 | 327 | 317 | 306 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 91% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 61% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,961
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 139
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,065
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,029
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,262
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 714
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 351
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 859 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 792 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 856 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 744 | 0 | 20 |
| May | 547 | 3 | 79 |
| June | 394 | 10 | 130 |
| July | 193 | 44 | 325 |
| August | 158 | 53 | 362 |
| September | 259 | 27 | 240 |
| October | 521 | 3 | 77 |
| November | 741 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 897 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.7 km from Willamina. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00354776 (Laurel Mtn). Public domain.