Scio Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lacomb 3 Nne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 184 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 14, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last March 24, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 24°F | Mar 19 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 16 | Dec 31 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 17 | Feb 4 | Jan 26 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 | Dec 17 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Feb 17 | Feb 1 | Jan 20 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 27 | Dec 19 | Dec 11 | Dec 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Dec 3 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 13 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 13 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 | Jan 18 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 | Jan 23 | Feb 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 160 | 154 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 133 | 124 | 116 |
| 32°F | 214 | 203 | 196 | 189 | 184 | 178 | 172 | 166 | 156 |
| 28°F | 276 | 263 | 253 | 244 | 237 | 228 | 220 | 211 | 198 |
| 24°F | 346 | 330 | 316 | 308 | 301 | 290 | 280 | 268 | 251 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 364 | 354 | 345 | 335 | 327 | 315 | 302 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 350 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 68% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 29% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,117
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 184
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,447
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,043
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,935
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,108
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 528
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 777 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 645 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 615 | 0 | 15 |
| April | 486 | 0 | 48 |
| May | 320 | 4 | 168 |
| June | 184 | 16 | 283 |
| July | 57 | 71 | 479 |
| August | 53 | 70 | 482 |
| September | 150 | 22 | 324 |
| October | 405 | 1 | 107 |
| November | 626 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 798 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.6 km from Scio. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00354606 (Lacomb 3 Nne). Public domain.